KAIDEN

0x322efa...dbd02d

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.4%

Total P&L

+$23

Trade Count

185

Sharpe Ratio

0.58

Sortino Ratio

1.80

Max Drawdown

883.6%

ROI

4.0%

Profit Factor

1.84

Kelly Fraction

0.139

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	SELL	4.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 11?	BUY	2.3¢	1.228	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 11?	BUY	2.3¢	44.142	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	1.06	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Mar 4
Will MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31?	BUY	98.2¢	1.018	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	91.0¢	1.099	Mar 4
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $155?	BUY	99.3¢	1.007	Mar 4
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	1.2¢	83.333	Mar 4
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	64.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	4.3¢	23.256	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9?	BUY	2.6¢	38.462	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 9?	SELL	14.2¢	77.47	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	1.7¢	58.824	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?	SELL	17.8¢	19.76	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?	BUY	2.7¢	37.037	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.2%

Win Consistency37.4%

Profit Factor0.58

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity185 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$3210d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue