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kairosmoi

0x355617...7f4fc3
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
37.5%
Total P&L
-$187
Trade Count
90
Sharpe Ratio
2.07
Sortino Ratio
618.84
Max Drawdown
26.7%
ROI
-13.6%
Profit Factor
0.45
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 5?BUY65.0¢96.923Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?SELL79.0¢78.94Mar 5
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 5?BUY66.5¢94.704Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?SELL95.4¢66.66Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?BUY0.5¢607.662Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY59.0¢16.949Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?BUY23.4¢42.708Mar 4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY65.0¢15.385Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY1.2¢1,440.263Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?BUY0.1¢8,984.26Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?BUY19.0¢52.632Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY14.7¢68.027Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY18.1¢55.249Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY19.0¢52.632Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY4.9¢20.408Mar 4
Will Trump say "Good Friend of Mine" or "Friend of Mine" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY2.0¢50Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY8.9¢11.236Mar 4
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 4?SELL99.9¢105.19Mar 4
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 4?BUY77.0¢67.06Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%23%< 10%8%10–20%4%20–30%21%30–50%23%50–70%10%70–80%5%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.16
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.7%
Win Consistency47.5%
Profit Factor1.02
Drawdown Resilience0.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82
Weekly Sharpe est.0.63
Trading Activity90 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$6050d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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