Kaka2

0x63d1ee...18fb04

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.9%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

0.66

Max Drawdown

196.5%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.86

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	300.71	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	300.414	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	90.141	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	90.01	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	89.92	Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	89.829	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	89.937	Feb 22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	89.689	Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	89.599	Feb 18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	89.329	Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	89.245	Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	88.707	Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	88.534	Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	88.178	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	88.084	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	87.826	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	87.65	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	87.475	Feb 7
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	86.949	Feb 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	86.038	Feb 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.6%

Win Consistency59.7%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.31

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.31

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity79 trades · 67 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,3022d profit64d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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