kambin

0x37251c...402776

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.4%

Total P&L

+$698

Trade Count

243

Sharpe Ratio

0.45

Sortino Ratio

35.19

Max Drawdown

6820.2%

ROI

67.9%

Profit Factor

3.39

Kelly Fraction

0.214

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	11.9¢	8.403	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	17.3¢	5.78	Mar 5
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	4.7¢	21.068	Mar 5
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	BUY	39.0¢	2.564	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	BUY	30.0¢	3.333	Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	32.0¢	3.125	Mar 5
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Mar 5
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	BUY	18.6¢	5.376	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	25.9¢	3.861	Mar 5
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	BUY	6.4¢	15.73	Mar 5
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	BUY	6.3¢	15.873	Mar 5
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	BUY	30.0¢	3.333	Mar 5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	SELL	26.0¢	9.88	Mar 5
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	SELL	28.0¢	6.72	Mar 5
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	SELL	1.7¢	29.99	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	25.5¢	45.73	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	32.0¢	13.88	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.81

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.9%

Win Consistency34.9%

Profit Factor0.86

Drawdown Resilience0.69

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity243 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$4842d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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