KaMiEr

0x14b09c...094de5@ballard_na74247

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.1%

Total P&L

+$36

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.38

Sortino Ratio

-0.28

Max Drawdown

3848.8%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

3.26

Kelly Fraction

0.597

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	1.299	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	135.271	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	95.6¢	135.995	Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.4¢	1.643	Mar 3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	131.86	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	130.081	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	128.028	Feb 10
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	127.896	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	127.635	Jan 31
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	125.551	Jan 28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	97.9¢	1.839	Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	125.251	Jan 21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	126.39	Jan 13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	125.125	Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	124.623	Jan 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	63.623	Jan 1
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	59.8	Jan 1
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?	BUY	96.9¢	120.268	Dec 31
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	SELL	93.7¢	124.38	Dec 30
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	BUY	98.8¢	124.383	Dec 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.3%

Win Consistency61.1%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity58 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,9371d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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