karafasan

0x8e371e...9bdeb2

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.6%

Total P&L

-$9.6K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.92

Sortino Ratio

-5.49

Max Drawdown

869.0%

ROI

-20.5%

Profit Factor

0.57

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	SELL	99.9¢	2,020	Mar 4
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	BUY	55.0¢	2,020	Mar 4
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	SELL	99.9¢	2,081.02	Mar 1
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	BUY	52.9¢	2,081.024	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	50.1¢	1,994.308	Jan 26
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	46.2¢	4,329.429	Jan 26
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	49.2¢	2,023.21	Jan 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	51.3¢	7,802.886	Jan 26
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	32.5¢	3,080.315	Dec 17
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 15-21?	BUY	14.9¢	672.566	Dec 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 19?	BUY	4.8¢	1,866.878	Dec 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	97.2¢	6,692.3	Dec 10
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	2.2¢	3,636.364	Nov 19
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	52.0¢	3,692.308	Nov 19
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	1.9¢	2,736.842	Nov 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	48.0¢	3,000	Nov 18
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	SELL	91.9¢	2,058.83	Nov 13
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	35.4¢	282.725	Nov 13
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	22.5¢	445.247	Nov 13
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	16.0¢	623.692	Nov 13

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency9.5%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity28 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,8014d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue