kazzimkoc

0x293de5...c17e6d

Smart Score

Win Rate

22.2%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

131

Sharpe Ratio

0.99

Sortino Ratio

4.94

Max Drawdown

257.1%

ROI

1.8%

Profit Factor

1.05

Kelly Fraction

0.011

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	BUY	43.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	99.3¢	2.1	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	57.0¢	21	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	50.0¢	21	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	52.0¢	7.95	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	52.0¢	11.77	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	52.0¢	1.28	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	49.0¢	21	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	SELL	50.0¢	21	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	BUY	3.0¢	97.1	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	BUY	3.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3?	BUY	3.0¢	120	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 2?	SELL	90.0¢	5	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 2?	BUY	45.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on March 2?	BUY	20.0¢	5.6	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 2?	BUY	21.0¢	4.13	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 2?	BUY	21.0¢	1.266	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 2?	BUY	43.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on March 1?	BUY	32.0¢	1.5	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 1?	BUY	48.0¢	5	Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.2%

Win Consistency42.6%

Profit Factor0.61

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity131 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$223d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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