kciw

0x622f98...14e730

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.7%

Total P&L

+$15.9K

Trade Count

987

Sharpe Ratio

0.42

Sortino Ratio

4.40

Max Drawdown

2935.3%

ROI

47.4%

Profit Factor

12.86

Kelly Fraction

0.412

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 20?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Jul 20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 20?	BUY	1.0¢	500	Jul 20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 20?	BUY	1.5¢	300	Jul 20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 20?	SELL	97.0¢	139.61	Jul 20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 20?	BUY	20.0¢	58.8	Jul 20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 20?	BUY	27.0¢	12.329	Jul 20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 20?	BUY	27.0¢	5	Jul 20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 20?	BUY	27.0¢	63.487	Jul 20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 19?	BUY	7.0¢	1.075	Jul 19
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 19?	BUY	7.0¢	119.355	Jul 19
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 19?	BUY	7.0¢	3.742	Jul 19
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 19?	BUY	7.0¢	19.596	Jul 19
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 19?	BUY	11.0¢	6.46	Jul 19
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 19?	BUY	11.0¢	93.539	Jul 19
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on July 9?	BUY	5.0¢	100	Jul 9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on July 9?	BUY	5.0¢	100	Jul 9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on July 7?	SELL	95.0¢	100	Jul 7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on July 7?	BUY	40.0¢	8.1	Jul 7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on July 7?	BUY	45.0¢	100	Jul 7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on July 6?	SELL	95.0¢	176.96	Jul 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.4%

Win Consistency51.1%

Profit Factor1.15

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity987 trades · 52 active days

P&L Calendar

+$4,80229d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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