kefche

0x29d24d...9d6305

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.3%

Total P&L

-$98

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.44

Sortino Ratio

-0.62

Max Drawdown

165.7%

ROI

-5.9%

Profit Factor

0.66

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	76.6¢	5.222	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	29.412	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	35.0¢	28.571	Mar 5
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	BUY	34.0¢	117.647	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	43.478	Mar 5
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	BUY	86.0¢	11.628	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	45.2¢	221.016	Mar 5
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	10	Jan 7
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	BUY	49.0¢	5	Jan 7
Bulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?	SELL	1.1¢	260	Dec 11
Bulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?	BUY	6.0¢	200	Dec 10
Bulgarian government no-confidence motion passes?	BUY	6.0¢	60	Dec 10
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)	SELL	33.0¢	46	Oct 14
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)	BUY	15.0¢	6.667	Oct 14
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Oct 14
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)	BUY	12.0¢	66.667	Oct 14
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)	SELL	11.0¢	77.77	Oct 14
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)	BUY	18.0¢	77.778	Oct 14
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	SELL	68.0¢	34.48	Oct 5
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration by September 30?	SELL	99.0¢	10.1	Sep 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.2%

Win Consistency36.4%

Profit Factor0.03

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity52 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$4295d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue