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kelsieconrad2902

0x1c3611...30e94c
Smart Score
65
Win Rate
80.0%
Total P&L
-$53
Trade Count
123
Sharpe Ratio
1.66
Sortino Ratio
1.63
Max Drawdown
50.0%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
12.79
Kelly Fraction
0.737
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
064.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.9¢401Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.0¢156.05Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.1¢50Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.2¢622.57Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.5¢2,659.31Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.6¢809.03Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.7¢790.87Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.8¢2,177.98Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.1¢4,387Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.1¢3,280.24Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.5¢2,404Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.6¢2,404Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.9¢1,189Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.9¢352Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.9¢1,086Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY98.9¢2,627Mar 4
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.7¢5,016Mar 3
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.7¢5,016Mar 3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.3¢44Mar 2
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.3¢44.99Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%35%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%8%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active64.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.56
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.0%
Win Consistency56.7%
Profit Factor1.68
Drawdown Resilience1.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.36
Weekly Sharpe est.1.04
Trading Activity123 trades · 16 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$205d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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