Kelvindfg

0x8b7c13...54f43b

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.1%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.77

Sortino Ratio

6.03

Max Drawdown

10.8%

ROI

16.1%

Profit Factor

1587.83

Kelly Fraction

0.870

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

074.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	35.61	Mar 5
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	580.58	Mar 5
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	580.58	Mar 5
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	580	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Mar 5
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	615.615	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on January 28?	BUY	99.5¢	62.311	Jan 26
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	39.04	Jan 13
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	13.01	Jan 13
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	52.052	Jan 13
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on December 19?	BUY	99.9¢	12.012	Dec 19
Will XRP reach $2.60 December 15-21?	BUY	99.6¢	9.036	Dec 19
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	SELL	99.8¢	52	Nov 26
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?	BUY	99.9¢	7.007	Nov 26
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	SELL	0.1¢	52	Nov 26
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?	BUY	99.9¢	7.007	Nov 26
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.4¢	47	Nov 6
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 November 3-9?	BUY	99.7¢	4.012	Nov 6
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	0.5¢	47	Nov 6
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 November 3-9?	BUY	99.7¢	7.021	Nov 6

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active74.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)67.6%

Win Consistency61.5%

Profit Factor1.93

Drawdown Resilience1.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.56

Weekly Sharpe est.1.19

Trading Activity63 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

+$9725d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue