Kenbu

0x4563dd...6eddd1

Smart Score

Win Rate

16.2%

Total P&L

-$30

Trade Count

194

Sharpe Ratio

-0.02

Sortino Ratio

-0.12

Max Drawdown

27235.9%

ROI

-10.4%

Profit Factor

0.66

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	28.0¢	10.714	Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 5
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?	BUY	5.1¢	19.757	Mar 5
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	SELL	66.1¢	26.12	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	3.6¢	27.778	Mar 4
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	SELL	7.8¢	15.62	Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.1¢	34.48	Mar 2
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?	BUY	3.6¢	27.778	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	9.25	Mar 2
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	5.57	Mar 2
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 1?	BUY	23.0¢	4.348	Feb 28
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 23-March 1?	SELL	0.7¢	83.33	Feb 28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 23-March 1?	SELL	2.0¢	42.08	Feb 28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 23-March 1?	BUY	2.4¢	42.083	Feb 28
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 23-March 1?	BUY	1.2¢	83.333	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	2.9¢	34.483	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	10.8¢	9.259	Feb 28
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Feb 28
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	SELL	28.0¢	17.85	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.9%

Win Consistency20.0%

Profit Factor0.17

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity194 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$866d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue