Kendelman

0x25b533...1c6d67

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.4%

Total P&L

+$1.8K

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.77

Sortino Ratio

6.24

Max Drawdown

454.4%

ROI

25.2%

Profit Factor

2.83

Kelly Fraction

0.365

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	SELL	8.0¢	0.04	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	17.0¢	10	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	3.686	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	2.573	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.5¢	2.289	Mar 5
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	SELL	65.3¢	1.59	Mar 5
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	3.2¢	34.375	Mar 5
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	BUY	74.0¢	1.486	Mar 5
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?	SELL	94.9¢	2.94	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	SELL	95.7¢	4.07	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	34.0¢	12.23	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	11.5¢	9.583	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	12.0¢	9.167	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	1.51	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	0.5	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	SELL	6.3¢	5.18	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	54.0¢	2.037	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	SELL	26.0¢	3.57	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	72.0¢	1.528	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	46.0¢	2.391	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.5%

Win Consistency48.5%

Profit Factor0.96

Drawdown Resilience0.77

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77

Weekly Sharpe est.0.59

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,2174d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue