Kinganibus

0x0619da...4ed801

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$22.9K

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

0.60

Sortino Ratio

51.88

Max Drawdown

4691.3%

ROI

23.0%

Profit Factor

2.56

Kelly Fraction

0.244

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	75.0¢	1,700	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	78.0¢	1,738.45	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	75.0¢	300	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 31	SELL	11.5¢	72.99	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 31	SELL	13.0¢	127.01	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	20.0¢	1,199.99	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	15.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	30.0¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	29.0¢	112.27	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	24.6¢	10.05	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	200	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 31	BUY	14.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	200	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	30.0¢	628.57	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	30.0¢	171.429	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	30.0¢	200	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	3.1¢	59.66	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	8.0¢	22.33	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	8.0¢	22.33	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	8.0¢	22.33	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.6%

Win Consistency51.2%

Profit Factor0.90

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity998 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,06613d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue