KingisCain

0x1219b0...f8862d

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.8%

Total P&L

-$3.7K

Trade Count

1,019

Sharpe Ratio

0.40

Sortino Ratio

0.95

Max Drawdown

288.6%

ROI

-15.9%

Profit Factor

-0.01

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	5.05	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.9¢	13.29	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?	SELL	97.4¢	10.27	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	3.59	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 6?	BUY	99.2¢	5.04	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	1.45	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	SELL	97.8¢	0.24	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	SELL	97.8¢	9.99	Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.1¢	5.08	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 6?	SELL	99.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 5?	SELL	98.1¢	30.16	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.8¢	17.09	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 6?	SELL	99.0¢	30.08	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	SELL	99.5¢	55.71	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 5?	SELL	99.3¢	40.27	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	5.07	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 6?	BUY	99.4¢	5.03	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?	BUY	97.5¢	5.12	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?	BUY	98.8¢	2.04	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.2%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity1,019 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,9847d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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