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kinglavi

0x6e209f...5445ab
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$1.5K
Trade Count
114
Sharpe Ratio
1.15
Sortino Ratio
3.40
Max Drawdown
40.1%
ROI
5.1%
Profit Factor
1.69
Kelly Fraction
0.204
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
052.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY26.0¢66.878Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY26.0¢3.57Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY26.0¢463.42Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY34.0¢2,800Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL62.1¢2,689.08Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL62.1¢402.576Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL62.1¢39.03Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL62.1¢70.918Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL62.1¢1.61Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL62.1¢16.497Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL62.1¢212.67Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢22.94Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢9.015Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢15Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢15.385Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢10Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢33.292Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢1,000Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢3.077Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢27.02Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%14%20–30%79%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.91
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.1%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor1.38
Drawdown Resilience1.11
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.11
Weekly Sharpe est.0.85
Trading Activity114 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,1862d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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