kiugb

0xa32849...6d3d4b@bofyc64771284

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.3%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.05

Sortino Ratio

-0.04

Max Drawdown

42.1%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.44

Kelly Fraction

0.286

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.153	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	99.2¢	1.331	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	85.085	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	88.148	Mar 1
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.152	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1?	BUY	91.9¢	1.251	Mar 1
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	89.099	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9?	BUY	99.9¢	89.009	Feb 9
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.253	Feb 9
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.2¢	1,300	Feb 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 3?	BUY	99.9¢	92.772	Feb 2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	90.18	Jan 29
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?	BUY	99.9¢	90.09	Jan 24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on January 22?	BUY	99.9¢	90	Jan 20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	89.909	Jan 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 12?	BUY	99.9¢	88.088	Jan 12
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 12?	BUY	99.8¢	1.232	Jan 12
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	1.251	Jan 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 8?	BUY	99.9¢	89.089	Jan 7
Will Streaks be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Jan 7

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.9%

Win Consistency51.7%

Profit Factor1.14

Drawdown Resilience0.92

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92

Weekly Sharpe est.0.70

Trading Activity61 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,8620d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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