Kiwiw051

0x1f82dc...0b6945
Smart Score
45
Win Rate
95.7%
Total P&L
+$37
Trade Count
53
Sharpe Ratio
0.65
Sortino Ratio
34.20
Max Drawdown
89.3%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
4.38
Kelly Fraction
0.738
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
045/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY99.8¢103.918Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?BUY99.8¢103.717Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?BUY99.8¢103.507Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?BUY99.9¢20.39Mar 1
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 23-March 1?BUY99.8¢82.91Mar 1
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 28?BUY99.8¢103.116Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 27?BUY99.9¢102.902Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 26?BUY99.8¢102.806Feb 26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 25?BUY99.9¢102.602Feb 25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 24?BUY99.9¢89.56Feb 24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 24?BUY99.9¢1.37Feb 24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 24?BUY99.9¢11.07Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 23?BUY99.9¢102.392Feb 23
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 22?BUY99.9¢101.381Feb 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 22?BUY99.9¢0.91Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 21?BUY99.9¢20.99Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 21?BUY99.9¢957.01Feb 21
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?BUY99.9¢976.79Feb 20
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 19?BUY99.9¢976.236Feb 19
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on February 18?BUY99.9¢975.255Feb 17
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%94%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing45

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.48
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.9%
Win Consistency10.9%
Profit Factor1.17
Drawdown Resilience0.95
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.95
Weekly Sharpe est.0.72
Trading Activity53 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$17,2090d profit37d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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