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kllerpenguin

kllerpenguin

0x300754...938f81@dannrr17
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
31.7%
Total P&L
+$15
Trade Count
201
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Sortino Ratio
1.53
Max Drawdown
2431.8%
ROI
2.1%
Profit Factor
1.16
Kelly Fraction
0.045
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETSELL60.0¢19.68Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY50.0¢3.2Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY50.0¢16.8Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSELL60.0¢9.84Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY49.9¢20Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSELL60.0¢9.99Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY50.0¢10Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY49.0¢4.9Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY49.0¢5.098Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL36.5¢25.38Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY13.3¢75.188Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY13.0¢21.06Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY12.9¢50Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY13.0¢6Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY12.8¢40Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSELL52.0¢20Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETBUY50.0¢20Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY40.9¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSELL60.0¢9.84Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%20%10–20%17%20–30%28%30–50%18%50–70%7%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.64
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.7%
Win Consistency39.6%
Profit Factor0.30
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity201 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1693d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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