KrangKwanten

0x288f8a...485946

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

-$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.91

Sortino Ratio

65.36

Max Drawdown

2933.3%

ROI

-3.4%

Profit Factor

0.83

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	40.5¢	56.79	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	59.8¢	39.79	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	57.8¢	22.491	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	57.8¢	17.301	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.1¢	372.671	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	35.2¢	62.559	Feb 28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	BUY	22.9¢	174.426	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	34.5¢	86.957	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	45.2¢	100	Feb 28
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	76.923	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	10.0¢	100	Feb 28
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	131.579	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	2.0¢	374.91	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	2.2¢	125.09	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	500	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	37.037	Feb 27
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	252.004	Feb 27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	43.1¢	23.197	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	18.0¢	66.66	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	SELL	31.0¢	75.71	Feb 27

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.9%

Win Consistency35.7%

Profit Factor0.77

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity25 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$1982d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue