krestx

0x8f7621...a314d0

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.1%

Total P&L

-$688

Trade Count

355

Sharpe Ratio

0.79

Sortino Ratio

36.58

Max Drawdown

655.7%

ROI

-20.3%

Profit Factor

0.32

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	7.0¢	11	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	7.0¢	3.4	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	7.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	5.9¢	11	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	64.43	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	3.158	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	SELL	3.0¢	12.92	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	6.7¢	53.4	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?	SELL	4.9¢	49.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	SELL	3.0¢	15.18	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	5.6¢	28.1	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?	SELL	20.0¢	13	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	5.8¢	49.3	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	BUY	2.8¢	30.4	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	SELL	96.9¢	10.3	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	SELL	3.0¢	23.4	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	13	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	2.3	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	1.1	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.5%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.13

Drawdown Resilience0.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity355 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2292d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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