Kriveshin

0x84993a...12b326

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.3%

Total P&L

-$68

Trade Count

715

Sharpe Ratio

-0.04

Sortino Ratio

-0.05

Max Drawdown

249.1%

ROI

-1.5%

Profit Factor

0.69

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	10.52	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	10.38	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	10.58	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	10.309	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	93.4¢	10.705	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	42.3¢	14.39	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	30.9¢	18.31	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	10.267	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	97.5¢	10.256	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	10.309	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	96.8¢	10.331	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	95.5¢	10.471	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	10.638	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	69.5¢	14.388	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	54.6¢	18.315	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	82.3¢	11.23	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	12.72	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	11.236	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	78.6¢	12.722	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	16.66	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.4%

Win Consistency64.2%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity715 trades · 73 active days

P&L Calendar

$45331d profit37d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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