KTLA

0x3f55cb...6bd4b5

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.8%

Total P&L

+$441

Trade Count

3,909

Sharpe Ratio

0.85

Sortino Ratio

7.54

Max Drawdown

317.0%

ROI

1.5%

Profit Factor

8.36

Kelly Fraction

0.333

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	200	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	273.3	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.3¢	75	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.3¢	25	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.1¢	45	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	11.2¢	145	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	199.99	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.9¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.5¢	16	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	24.9¢	26.77	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	24.9¢	5.27	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.5¢	9	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	25.1¢	45.23	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.4¢	125	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.0¢	50.01	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	13.42	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	6.58	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	90	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	90	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.2%

Win Consistency50.9%

Profit Factor1.15

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity3,909 trades · 58 active days

P&L Calendar

$17229d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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