L26

0x078083...9dbd2b
Smart Score
8
Win Rate
54.2%
Total P&L
-$3.1K
Trade Count
146
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Sortino Ratio
140.60
Max Drawdown
1155.1%
ROI
-52.5%
Profit Factor
0.28
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
08.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL94.7¢6.57Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.7¢58.824Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL0.1¢178.29Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.9¢12.531Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL60.1¢7.21Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY11.8¢42.373Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY6.4¢31.406Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY69.4¢7.205Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL29.9¢14.7Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.5¢66.25Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY76.1¢6.57Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL23.9¢14.57Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.8¢119.469Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY34.0¢14.706Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.7¢58.824Mar 4
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?SELL18.0¢10Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY34.3¢14.577Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL72.8¢7.24Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL70.1¢7.08Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%7%10–20%5%20–30%16%30–50%21%50–70%17%70–80%15%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.6%
Win Consistency40.3%
Profit Factor0.22
Drawdown Resilience0.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.13
Trading Activity146 trades · 29 active days
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P&L Calendar
$4,24911d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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