lac665253

0x314f98...62dd6a
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Total P&L
-$2.1K
Trade Count
45
Sharpe Ratio
-3.05
Sortino Ratio
-2.74
Max Drawdown
3833.3%
ROI
-4.8%
Profit Factor
0.50
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL1.6¢2,017Mar 4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.7¢1,885Mar 4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.7¢132Mar 4
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL1.0¢1,650Mar 3
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY1.0¢1,650Mar 3
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL2.4¢1,300Mar 3
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY2.6¢1,300Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 1?BUY99.9¢49Feb 28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.5¢78.86Feb 26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.5¢1,821.14Feb 26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢1,350Feb 26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢550Feb 26
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?BUY2.0¢1,300Feb 21
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?SELL0.4¢1,900Feb 21
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢753.09Feb 21
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢846.91Feb 21
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.3¢200Feb 20
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.3¢1,300Feb 20
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.3¢100Feb 20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?BUY0.7¢1,771.64Feb 20
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%44%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%48%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency11.8%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity45 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,3732d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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