LachlanPerez

0x611f09...5dd4d0
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
71.4%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
35
Sharpe Ratio
-6.40
Sortino Ratio
-4.90
Max Drawdown
137400.0%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
27580.03
Kelly Fraction
0.714
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
023.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY99.6¢140Mar 5
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL96.9¢190.13Mar 5
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL96.9¢9.87Mar 5
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY96.9¢200Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10PM ETBUY98.0¢5Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢96.85Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢9.375Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢5.208Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢7.292Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢10.417Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢8.333Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢150Mar 4
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.1¢48.79Mar 4
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.1¢1.203Mar 4
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.1¢50Mar 4
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.1¢60Mar 4
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.1¢60Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL96.9¢220Mar 4
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.7%
Win Consistency30.8%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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