LanceMargery

0x4124d6...2d360c

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.5%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

139

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

116.1%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

3.23

Kelly Fraction

0.604

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6.79	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6.23	Feb 5
Jets vs. Flames	BUY	59.0¢	5	Oct 20
Suns vs. Spurs	BUY	57.0¢	5.52	Feb 18
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-16?	BUY	52.0¢	5.25	Jan 16
Nets vs. Jazz	BUY	61.0¢	5.71	Jan 12
Dolphins vs. Jets	BUY	48.0¢	6.15	Jan 4
Raiders vs. Saints	BUY	49.0¢	6.54	Dec 27
Falcons vs. Raiders	BUY	30.0¢	7.1	Dec 16
Falcons vs. Vikings	BUY	70.0¢	5.59	Dec 4
Giants vs. Cowboys	BUY	65.0¢	5.06	Nov 27
Timberwolves vs. Raptors	BUY	28.0¢	11.71	Nov 21
Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?	SELL	99.5¢	13.96	Nov 11
Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?	BUY	99.9¢	13.964	Nov 11
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?	BUY	0.2¢	7	Nov 4
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?	SELL	97.2¢	12.43	Nov 4
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?	BUY	97.3¢	12.436	Nov 4
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?	SELL	98.5¢	12.13	Nov 2
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?	BUY	98.9¢	12.133	Nov 2
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?	SELL	98.8¢	13.18	Nov 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.9%

Win Consistency48.8%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue