laoqi

0x405d98...5b74b1

Smart Score

Win Rate

13.0%

Total P&L

-$23

Trade Count

677

Sharpe Ratio

0.62

Sortino Ratio

34.30

Max Drawdown

438.7%

ROI

-1.9%

Profit Factor

0.60

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	2.84	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	32.09	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	0.5¢	70	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	7.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.5¢	70	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	7.3¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.5¢	200	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.5¢	40	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.8¢	1.62	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.8¢	0.66	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.8¢	2.24	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.8¢	2.49	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.8¢	3.74	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.8¢	11	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.8¢	42	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.1¢	65.99	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	9.34	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	90.66	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.6¢	50	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.2¢	38.95	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%

Win Consistency34.7%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity677 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$268d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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