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larsent

0x65a783...3aab77
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
55.8%
Total P&L
+$11
Trade Count
80
Sharpe Ratio
0.65
Sortino Ratio
1.43
Max Drawdown
331.3%
ROI
4.7%
Profit Factor
1.98
Kelly Fraction
0.276
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?SELL68.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?SELL85.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY98.6¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?SELL98.9¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY70.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 5?SELL99.1¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY5.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?SELL93.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY90.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?SELL91.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY98.6¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?SELL65.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?SELL92.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?BUY66.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?SELL97.3¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?SELL99.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.4¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?SELL98.9¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY98.6¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY91.0¢5Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%10%10–20%3%20–30%3%30–50%23%50–70%11%70–80%6%80–90%23%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.10
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.2%
Win Consistency37.8%
Profit Factor0.52
Drawdown Resilience0.42
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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