last-leader

0x3d9d7d...d0b5fb

Smart Score

Win Rate

22.2%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

146

Sharpe Ratio

1.26

Sortino Ratio

313.64

Max Drawdown

92.7%

ROI

2.3%

Profit Factor

1.11

Kelly Fraction

0.023

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	11.4¢	100	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?	BUY	2.0¢	500	Feb 22
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?	BUY	2.1¢	100	Feb 17
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?	BUY	2.1¢	71.96	Feb 17
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?	BUY	2.1¢	700	Feb 17
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?	BUY	3.1¢	8.06	Feb 13
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?	BUY	3.1¢	145.872	Feb 13
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?	BUY	3.1¢	146.058	Feb 13
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	BUY	4.0¢	300	Feb 13
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	BUY	3.9¢	77.98	Feb 13
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?	SELL	4.3¢	48.84	Feb 6
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February?	SELL	1.3¢	155.4	Feb 6
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February?	SELL	1.4¢	25	Feb 6
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February?	SELL	1.4¢	322.55	Feb 6
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February?	SELL	1.5¢	303.75	Feb 6
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February?	SELL	1.6¢	12.88	Feb 6
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?	SELL	0.8¢	872.79	Feb 6
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?	SELL	4.3¢	5.12	Feb 6
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?	SELL	4.3¢	25	Feb 6
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?	SELL	4.3¢	298.04	Feb 6

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%

Win Consistency36.8%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity146 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

+$185d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue