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layer2airdrops

0x950f83...ea1f8d
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
48.7%
Total P&L
+$51
Trade Count
223
Sharpe Ratio
1.07
Sortino Ratio
9.86
Max Drawdown
359.7%
ROI
1.4%
Profit Factor
1.93
Kelly Fraction
0.234
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL99.3¢55.99Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL28.2¢16.07Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL44.4¢14.3Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY84.0¢9.995Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY86.0¢23Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY87.0¢23Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL60.0¢9Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY59.0¢9Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY31.1¢16.072Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY35.0¢14.304Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL12.3¢8.69Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY23.0¢8.696Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New ZealandSELL68.0¢7.69Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New ZealandBUY65.0¢7.692Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL96.4¢64Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY93.5¢64Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL26.6¢10Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL26.3¢10Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL6.0¢17.05Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY25.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%16%10–20%15%20–30%14%30–50%11%50–70%7%70–80%7%80–90%22%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.7%
Win Consistency50.6%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity223 trades · 14 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1905d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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