LazarP

0x810058...273dc5

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

-$34

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.14

Sortino Ratio

-0.13

Max Drawdown

32.7%

ROI

-11.7%

Profit Factor

0.37

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	2.813	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	8.88	Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	84.0¢	9.524	Feb 25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	SELL	38.0¢	10.86	Feb 25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	37.0¢	11.11	Feb 25
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	8.667	Feb 16
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	10.214	Feb 16
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?	BUY	80.0¢	6.25	Feb 16
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?	BUY	4.4¢	22.727	Feb 16
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?	BUY	82.0¢	12.195	Feb 16
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	5.682	Feb 16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	90.0¢	8.889	Feb 16
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	6.098	Feb 16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	3.333	Feb 16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	3.158	Feb 16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	6.024	Feb 16
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic	BUY	27.0¢	7.407	Jan 31
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Jan 31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	84.0¢	5.952	Jan 12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	81.0¢	1.235	Jan 12

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%

Win Consistency64.7%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity64 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$2022d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue