lazzard

0x9665c7...ea3b4f

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.5%

Total P&L

-$29

Trade Count

197

Sharpe Ratio

0.45

Sortino Ratio

1.77

Max Drawdown

1497.7%

ROI

-2.6%

Profit Factor

0.78

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	84.0¢	11.905	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	80.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?	BUY	3.8¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	27.778	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	98.5¢	53.05	Mar 5
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	27.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	BUY	44.0¢	11.364	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	1.2¢	83.333	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	SELL	99.1¢	8.23	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	33.9¢	53.053	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	6.757	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	19.0¢	123.58	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	14.0¢	42.857	Mar 4
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	26.316	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	21.0¢	45	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.3¢	5.32	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	14.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	SELL	0.1¢	10.28	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	67.0¢	7.463	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.0%

Win Consistency65.0%

Profit Factor0.46

Drawdown Resilience0.37

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity197 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$4065d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue