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Leandertaler

Leandertaler

0x1c087c...0a1ff6
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
63.9%
Total P&L
+$5.6K
Trade Count
766
Sharpe Ratio
0.66
Sortino Ratio
17.60
Max Drawdown
2843.3%
ROI
23.2%
Profit Factor
6.91
Kelly Fraction
0.546
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY9.0¢6.25Mar 5
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY94.0¢5.76Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY94.0¢100Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?BUY10.0¢100Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY28.0¢400Mar 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY9.0¢9.82Mar 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY9.0¢0.549Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL89.0¢93.24Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL89.0¢13.257Mar 4
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL91.0¢68.56Mar 4
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL91.0¢1.945Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL91.8¢48.89Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY33.0¢100Mar 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY9.8¢88.13Mar 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY10.0¢5Mar 4
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL91.0¢68.26Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL91.8¢1.11Mar 4
Will "Engineering" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL88.0¢60Mar 4
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL89.5¢90Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL11.0¢26.23Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%27%< 10%15%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%13%50–70%5%70–80%8%80–90%21%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.70
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.7%
Win Consistency32.8%
Profit Factor1.28
Drawdown Resilience1.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity766 trades · 25 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,7954d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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