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LegendaryBets

0x478e2d...42a576
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
16.0%
Total P&L
-$3.3K
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
2.55
Sortino Ratio
34.01
Max Drawdown
988.1%
ROI
-15.8%
Profit Factor
0.72
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY8.6¢94.419Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY44.7¢111.849Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL12.0¢9.84Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.3¢34.069Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.9¢90.93Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY13.2¢41.742Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY21.6¢36.667Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY21.6¢88.426Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL12.0¢16.62Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL12.0¢5.62Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?SELL12.0¢85Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY23.8¢86.849Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL97.5¢48.02Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL27.0¢307.54Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL9.8¢338.73Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL9.8¢86.102Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL10.4¢182.34Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL26.8¢584.6Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL26.8¢7.463Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL26.8¢7.463Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%9%10–20%13%20–30%23%30–50%24%50–70%11%70–80%9%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%
Win Consistency43.3%
Profit Factor0.71
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,0023d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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