leisaisaiweather

0x8fe62c...d3e1bb

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.7%

Total P&L

+$98

Trade Count

152

Sharpe Ratio

-0.29

Sortino Ratio

-0.43

Max Drawdown

1438.2%

ROI

16.3%

Profit Factor

1.85

Kelly Fraction

0.298

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?	BUY	72.0¢	5.556	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	15.0¢	16.02	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	84.1¢	4.756	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	45.0¢	8.889	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	84.1¢	4.756	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	42.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	84.2¢	4.751	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	45.0¢	8.889	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	85.8¢	4.662	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	45.0¢	8.889	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	85.9¢	4.657	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	6.154	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	48.9¢	8.172	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	45.0¢	8.889	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	44.0¢	9.091	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	43.0¢	9.302	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	43.0¢	9.302	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	74.0¢	5.405	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	72.0¢	5.556	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	72.0¢	5.556	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.2%

Win Consistency56.5%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity152 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$4333d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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