Leo-Messi

0x1f8221...202d74

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.4%

Total P&L

+$17.8K

Trade Count

3,987

Sharpe Ratio

0.25

Sortino Ratio

16.46

Max Drawdown

123.1%

ROI

4.5%

Profit Factor

2.51

Kelly Fraction

0.189

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	48.6¢	1,170.13	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	48.8¢	2,132.95	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	41.0¢	10.23	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	41.0¢	1,377.28	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	38.5¢	834.27	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	38.5¢	1,522.75	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	38.5¢	2	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	38.5¢	27.38	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	38.5¢	1,052.11	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	38.5¢	61.49	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	35.0¢	0.92	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	BUY	50.8¢	295.279	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BUY	11.0¢	254.618	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BUY	19.5¢	620.53	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	BUY	17.0¢	123.635	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	BUY	24.0¢	5.263	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	BUY	24.0¢	15.63	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	BUY	24.0¢	11.55	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	BUY	49.7¢	216.05	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	BUY	7.0¢	277.45	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.7%

Win Consistency57.7%

Profit Factor0.82

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity3,319 trades · 100 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,19142d profit55d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue