leonardomuskinci

0x0a1f66...5d943e

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.5%

Total P&L

+$5.7K

Trade Count

590

Sharpe Ratio

0.52

Sortino Ratio

25.93

Max Drawdown

113.9%

ROI

19.4%

Profit Factor

3.04

Kelly Fraction

0.198

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	BUY	82.0¢	44.451	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	SELL	35.0¢	21.88	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	BUY	45.0¢	22.222	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	BUY	41.0¢	24.39	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	SELL	0.3¢	51.26	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	25.0¢	51.72	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	SELL	67.0¢	19.54	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	59.0¢	19.831	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	SELL	86.0¢	6.76	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	SELL	87.0¢	6.76	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BUY	83.9¢	13.583	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	25.2¢	45.18	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	27.5¢	45.189	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	72.7¢	11.94	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	5	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	72.4¢	16.948	Feb 28
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	SELL	0.1¢	1,099.96	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?	SELL	1.4¢	799.99	Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	BUY	54.6¢	22.782	Feb 16

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.8%

Win Consistency67.4%

Profit Factor0.91

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity590 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$7664d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue