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LeRoiSoleil

0x6ac0ca...fc55f3
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
47.2%
Total P&L
+$81
Trade Count
519
Sharpe Ratio
0.71
Sortino Ratio
3.06
Max Drawdown
139.5%
ROI
3.3%
Profit Factor
2.46
Kelly Fraction
0.281
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY76.0¢18.421Mar 5
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL78.0¢1.28Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?SELL79.0¢2.63Mar 5
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?SELL70.0¢4.55Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?SELL80.0¢4.34Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL85.6¢4.31Mar 5
Will Iran strike UAE in March?BUY1.0¢5Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY35.7¢30.812Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?SELL82.0¢14.28Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY40.6¢73.892Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL74.6¢40.36Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY74.3¢134.663Mar 4
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY5.6¢0.75Mar 4
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY5.6¢4.25Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY39.7¢5.038Mar 4
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL78.0¢2.85Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY3.6¢5Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY3.3¢5Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY43.4¢80.645Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL42.5¢80.08Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%16%30–50%23%50–70%15%70–80%16%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.68
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.9%
Win Consistency61.4%
Profit Factor0.80
Drawdown Resilience0.64
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64
Weekly Sharpe est.0.49
Trading Activity519 trades · 50 active days
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P&L Calendar
$72612d profit37d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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