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0x2dfdff...606a46

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

-$2.9K

Trade Count

738

Sharpe Ratio

-0.86

Sortino Ratio

-1.51

Max Drawdown

746.8%

ROI

-3.0%

Profit Factor

0.70

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	13.45	Feb 2
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	2.02	Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	90.2	Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	100	Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	9.07	Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	BUY	38.0¢	1,493.74	Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	BUY	38.0¢	25.61	Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	BUY	38.0¢	80.645	Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	BUY	39.0¢	1,389.86	Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	BUY	38.0¢	139.86	Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	9.25	Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	10.36	Jan 31
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	40	Jan 31
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	10.2	Jan 31
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	50.0¢	83.99	Jan 31
US recession by end of 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	407.02	Jan 17
US recession by end of 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	125.76	Jan 17
US recession by end of 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	312.5	Jan 17
US recession by end of 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	17	Jan 17
US recession by end of 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	8	Jan 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.1%

Win Consistency38.0%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity709 trades · 64 active days

P&L Calendar

$25,60723d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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