let442191

0x8bd643...44708d
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
57.1%
Total P&L
-$2.1K
Trade Count
39
Sharpe Ratio
0.75
Sortino Ratio
0.87
Max Drawdown
30.8%
ROI
-13.3%
Profit Factor
0.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
018.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.2¢2,022Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.4¢1,991Mar 4
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.5¢1,991Mar 4
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.6¢1,500Mar 4
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.6¢200Mar 4
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.6¢1,700Mar 3
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL2.0¢1,600Mar 3
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY1.9¢139.47Mar 3
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY1.9¢1,460.53Mar 3
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢735.4Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢964.6Mar 2
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢1,700Mar 2
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.3¢1,295.05Feb 26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.3¢504.95Feb 26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢200Feb 26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢1,600Feb 26
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL1.4¢50Feb 26
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL1.4¢1,550Feb 26
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.1¢20Feb 24
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY1.9¢1,600Feb 21
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%50%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%41%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.03
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.0%
Win Consistency47.1%
Profit Factor0.49
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.30
Trading Activity39 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,2154d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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