Accrue
Log inGet Access

letmigoreng

0x69f2ad...e38045
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
96.8%
Total P&L
+$581
Trade Count
773
Sharpe Ratio
-6.19
Sortino Ratio
-9.02
Max Drawdown
321165.8%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
1.63
Kelly Fraction
0.373
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY95.5¢76.44Mar 5
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on March 4?BUY97.2¢72.027Mar 4
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 4?BUY99.0¢101.01Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.2¢2,500Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.2¢1,120Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.2¢1,000Mar 2
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL74.8¢226.83Mar 2
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY88.2¢226.832Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?SELL90.0¢116.27Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY86.0¢116.279Mar 2
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY99.0¢101.01Mar 1
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY98.9¢202.232Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY98.9¢202.224Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY99.8¢199.94Feb 28
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY99.0¢101.02Feb 28
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY99.0¢202.037Feb 28
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY99.0¢202.02Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?SELL99.9¢700.24Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY97.5¢459.685Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY89.0¢112.36Feb 28

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%96%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.5%
Win Consistency18.2%
Profit Factor0.36
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22
Trading Activity773 trades · 45 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$77,6550d profit45d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics