lineth

0x2c41d0...ff133e
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
44.4%
Total P&L
+$69.2K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Sortino Ratio
1.74
Max Drawdown
92.9%
ROI
67.4%
Profit Factor
3.80
Kelly Fraction
0.328
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
034.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright? BUY24.7¢298.92Mar 3
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?BUY24.3¢80Mar 3
Will Muchelle Ugenti-Rita be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?SELL99.8¢90.29Mar 3
Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?SELL82.1¢90.16Mar 3
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?BUY13.7¢50Mar 3
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?BUY13.6¢30Mar 3
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?BUY11.6¢4,000Mar 2
Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright? BUY10.0¢7,151.91Mar 2
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?BUY15.6¢51Mar 2
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?BUY15.5¢601Mar 2
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?BUY16.0¢339.7Mar 2
Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?BUY50.7¢192Mar 2
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?BUY17.0¢9Mar 2
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?BUY16.6¢70Mar 2
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?BUY18.9¢59Mar 2
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL39.5¢55.42Mar 2
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?BUY66.4¢251.99Mar 2
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?BUY67.7¢109.39Mar 2
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?BUY63.8¢176.45Mar 2
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?SELL16.8¢445Mar 2
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%19%10–20%15%20–30%17%30–50%16%50–70%5%70–80%6%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.7%
Win Consistency49.2%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 61 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$2,77811d profit50d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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