linghujunlan

0x0f9bf9...bf7829

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.8%

Total P&L

+$94.7K

Trade Count

994

Sharpe Ratio

0.09

Sortino Ratio

0.19

Max Drawdown

2503.9%

ROI

10.4%

Profit Factor

4.38

Kelly Fraction

0.531

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	263.51	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	51	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	27.273	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	123	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	181.818	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	42	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	500	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	243.909	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	121.37	Mar 4
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	BUY	76.0¢	12.51	Mar 3
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	BUY	76.0¢	2.12	Mar 3
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	65.0¢	6.338	Mar 2
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	BUY	75.0¢	169.573	Mar 1
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	12.5¢	116	Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	88.1¢	100	Feb 28
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	72.0¢	114.667	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	42.8¢	193	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	44.0¢	1,000	Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	500	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	49.4¢	80.98	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.7%

Win Consistency48.0%

Profit Factor0.82

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity994 trades · 94 active days

P&L Calendar

$120,14823d profit71d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue