litianming

0x4d3f9a...68edda
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
62.5%
Total P&L
+$5
Trade Count
49
Sharpe Ratio
2.84
Sortino Ratio
9.15
Max Drawdown
1600.0%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
19.79
Kelly Fraction
0.593
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
047.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY99.2¢121Mar 5
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY99.6¢427.71Mar 5
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL98.9¢1Mar 5
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL98.9¢230Mar 5
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL99.6¢188.96Mar 4
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL99.6¢25Mar 4
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY99.6¢213.96Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢90.92Mar 4
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL99.7¢20.47Mar 4
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL99.7¢199.318Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢53.66Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢4.88Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢20.31Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢20Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢27.437Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢60Mar 4
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY99.7¢219.79Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.9¢186.3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY49.0¢10Mar 3
Will Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL99.7¢10Mar 3
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%8%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%92%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.9%
Win Consistency33.3%
Profit Factor1.22
Drawdown Resilience0.99
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99
Weekly Sharpe est.0.75
Trading Activity49 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$5610d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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