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liuaustin

0x6aac69...9bb883
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
53.3%
Total P&L
-$10
Trade Count
199
Sharpe Ratio
-1.63
Sortino Ratio
-1.50
Max Drawdown
10464.6%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
-0.49
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.7¢82Mar 5
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1¢97Mar 5
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2¢381Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.5¢83Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.6¢83Feb 27
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL1.2¢16Feb 25
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?SELL99.8¢82Feb 25
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?BUY99.8¢82Feb 18
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL1.0¢50Feb 18
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.0¢122Feb 10
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.9¢84Feb 10
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢84Feb 4
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.7¢84Feb 1
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.8¢84Jan 28
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢84Jan 27
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.4¢84Jan 24
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY99.9¢85Jan 21
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.0¢83Jan 20
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.6¢83Jan 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 17?BUY99.8¢85Jan 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%84%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency16.0%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity199 trades · 170 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$44086d profit84d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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