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liziyu

0x6125e4...b85aab@zkwkg48123753
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
86.7%
Total P&L
+$45
Trade Count
45
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Sortino Ratio
0.89
Max Drawdown
243.7%
ROI
1.3%
Profit Factor
2.15
Kelly Fraction
0.464
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 5?BUY99.6¢142.57Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY97.5¢83.087Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1?BUY99.9¢59.059Mar 1
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?BUY98.9¢71.79Feb 10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY99.8¢68.136Feb 10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2?BUY99.8¢55.11Feb 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 2?BUY99.4¢36.217Feb 2
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?BUY90.9¢14.301Jan 30
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of January?BUY99.9¢28.028Jan 30
Ethereum Up or Down on January 30?BUY95.8¢48.027Jan 30
Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesBUY29.0¢100Jan 30
US strike on Mexico by January 31?BUY99.9¢47.047Jan 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 18?BUY99.8¢163.327Jan 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 14?BUY99.9¢165.165Jan 13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 9?BUY99.9¢162.162Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 60-69 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?BUY99.8¢86.172Jan 6
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 7?BUY0.4¢375Jan 6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 6?BUY99.6¢76.305Jan 6
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 2?BUY99.9¢163.163Jan 1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 29?BUY99.9¢164.164Dec 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%10–20%4%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%84%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency24.4%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity45 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,4990d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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