LLLivesky

0x21ca71...d9450a@oxsuisky
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
17.9%
Total P&L
+$2.8K
Trade Count
2,467
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Sortino Ratio
1.47
Max Drawdown
1484.5%
ROI
2.2%
Profit Factor
1.41
Kelly Fraction
0.052
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
011.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY41.2¢259.523Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL28.2¢299.99Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.6¢299.59Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL1.0¢301.72Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY18.0¢224.21Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY18.0¢75.786Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY29.1¢39.38Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY29.1¢11.11Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY29.1¢12.507Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY29.0¢6Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY29.1¢77.62Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY29.1¢30Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY29.1¢82.98Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY29.0¢40Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY16.6¢301.729Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY3.9¢205.128Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL8.7¢200Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY20.2¢200Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY29.9¢162Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY29.8¢38.1Mar 1
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%22%< 10%60%10–20%9%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.63
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.5%
Win Consistency43.7%
Profit Factor0.30
Drawdown Resilience0.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.18
Trading Activity2,467 trades · 99 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,73746d profit53d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics