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0x384a3b...2854e6
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
50.7%
Total P&L
-$7.4K
Trade Count
550
Sharpe Ratio
0.35
Sortino Ratio
4.87
Max Drawdown
1606.3%
ROI
-2.3%
Profit Factor
-0.02
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY58.0¢5Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY41.0¢5Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY42.0¢5Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?BUY95.0¢5Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?BUY87.0¢5Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?BUY86.0¢5Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY41.0¢5Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL59.0¢12Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY41.0¢5Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY63.0¢5Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY95.8¢6Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY95.8¢6Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?SELL52.0¢5Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY77.0¢5Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY89.0¢5Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY21.0¢5Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY52.0¢5Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?SELL51.0¢7.5Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY52.0¢5Mar 4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?SELL51.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%5%10–20%4%20–30%18%30–50%28%50–70%15%70–80%7%80–90%16%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.92
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.3%
Win Consistency43.9%
Profit Factor0.44
Drawdown Resilience0.35
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity529 trades · 45 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,86812d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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