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loeb9wrc

loeb9wrc

0x0a3aa0...c5f612@MarseSev
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
16.7%
Total P&L
-$10
Trade Count
19
Sharpe Ratio
-7.67
Sortino Ratio
-10.08
Max Drawdown
0.0%
ROI
-17.1%
Profit Factor
0.05
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?BUY19.3¢25.891Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY19.0¢5.263Mar 5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?BUY1.3¢78.732Mar 5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.6¢166.667Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY44.0¢11.364Mar 3
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY1.8¢55.556Mar 3
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY4.9¢20.408Mar 2
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY23.0¢4.348Mar 2
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?BUY35.0¢14.286Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?BUY66.0¢7.576Mar 2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?BUY2.5¢40Mar 2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY2.1¢47.619Mar 2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?BUY1.2¢86.707Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY42.0¢11.905Mar 2
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY35.0¢14.286Mar 2
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?BUY18.3¢27.287Mar 2
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY74.0¢13.514Mar 2
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY71.0¢7.042Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%42%< 10%16%10–20%5%20–30%21%30–50%5%50–70%11%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%
Win Consistency22.2%
Profit Factor0.51
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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